2. Alexi Ogando gets ten starts before the All Star break but fewer than five after.
Ogando has a pattern. He starts out nicely; sometimes nice enough to make the All Star game, and then gets injured in the second half. This prediction is based on Ogando’s health history and also a prediction that Jon Daniels will acquire a starting pitcher at the deadline. This will put Ogando back in the pen where he can stay healthy. Texas will not be able to ride Ogando through the second half. He is going to have to be replaced part way through the season.