The Seattle Mariners get A-Rodded by Cano

Apr 24, 2012; Arlington, TX, USA; New York Yankees third baseman Alex Rodriguez (13) warms up prior to the game against the Texas Rangers at Rangers Ballpark. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

What does it mean for the Texas Rangers and the AL West in general now that Robinson Cano is in the division? What does it mean for the Mariners? If history tells us anything at all, then it means absolutely nothing. As all of you know by now, the Mariners signed Robinson Cano to a ten-year, $240 million contract. He will be a Mariner for the forseeable future.

The Mariners are doing the classic AL West overreaction to try to become relevant. (See Angels with Albert Pujols and Josh Hamilton, Texas Rangers with A-Rod). Cano, while a talented player, is not going to make up the 20 game deficit that Seattle had in the division last season (they finished 71-91). Robinson Cano, if he hits the same as he did in NY, will give you about 22 home-runs a season, 91 RBI and 88 runs. Seattle’s second baseman last season gave them 12 home runs, 45 RBI and 38 runs. So he is definitely an improvement. But you also have to think, what will Robinson Cano look like at home now in a ballpark that is known as a pitcher’s park and not a hitters park. I expect that Cano’s numbers will dip a good bit from his NY days, more like a 15-20 home-run, 75 RBI 70 run type of run, making him good but not great. I also expect them to be strapped for cash at every other position for the next ten seasons now, which will be good for the Texas Rangers.

The Mariners went out and got a premier second baseman when what they needed to do was build a whole team.  Seattle was dead last in batting average last season in the American League with an average of .237. They were third worst is strikeouts, fourth worst it runs, second worst in stolen bases. They were a bad offensive team, and one guy is not going to fix that. Look at what happened when A-Rod became a Texas Ranger for a very similar deal. A-Rod had a great few seasons for the Rangers, but they got no closer to the post season then they were before A-Rod and I believe that the same thing will happen to the Mariners. They will win a few more games with Robinson Cano at second, but not enough. His average WAR over nine seasons in 5.02, hardly enough to make up the 25 games behind the OaklandAthletics the Mariners finished last season. In plain simple english, the Seattle Mariners got A-Rodded.

Now don’t get me wrong, I’m not complaining about this phenomenon, I am glad the Los Angeles Angels and Seattle Mariners are handicapping themselves for the forseeable future, and I hope that somehow the A’s follow suit. The whole Prince Fielder thing will probably not end well either for the Texas Rangers, but he is much younger than either Robinson Cano or Albert Pujlos. I believe that the Mariners will regret Cano way more than the Texas Rangers will. I sure hope I am right.

Topics: Free Agent, Robison Cano, Texas Rangers

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  • SAK11

    If this article was written by an A’s fan it would have a lot more merit. They’re
    the ones who don’t spend. Written by a Rangers fan, this article is borderline
    ridiculous. Your team just traded for a guy with a gigantic contract. You say
    Fielder is way younger than Cano. He is just a year and a half younger, and has never been as good as either Pujols or Cano. He has also shown signs of
    decline, something Cano has yet to do.
    $240 million for any player in this league is too much, and 10 years for a 31 year old means those last few years will undoubtedly be filled with injuries and regressive numbers for Cano, but you make this out to be much worse for the M’s then it really is. In all long term, big money contracts you’re paying for the first half of the deal and in this case, Cano is arguably one of the top 3-5 players in the league. It gives the M’s a power bat they have lacked for years, and with their very good pitching and young players coming in, they are not in the terrible spot you make them out to be. Hernandez- Iwakuma-
    Walker will arguably be as good a 1-2-3 as there is in this league. Throw in
    Hultzen and Paxton, both of whom could help the team or be traded for a young bat/ veteran help, and you have a lot of promise coming soon. Their bats leave a lot to be desired, some of their guys have flopped, but Cano in the middle of that order will only help those other guys out. There is also plenty of youth there that can still develop. I’m not calling them a guaranteed playoff team but for you to call this an ‘overreaction’ and a ‘handicap’ for their foreseeable future is off the mark. Yes, they need to make up 25 games, but Cano is not doing that on his own.

    Let’s take a deeper look into the flaws of this article:
    Your Cano stats are just plain wrong. If he hits like he did in NY, how is he only
    going to hit 22 homeruns, drive in 91 and score 88? Is that an average of his
    whole career? If so, that is simply the wrong approach to take. Take a look at
    who he has been recently, since he’s hit his prime and been put in that 3rd
    spot in the order. That would be the last 4 seasons in which he’s averaged 29 homeruns, 107 RBIs, and 98 runs. Far greater numbers than you would want people to believe. He average WAR over that time is 7.2, which is an MVP level of play.

    Your projected stats for him this year seem like they were based off of nothing. Let’s actually used some facts to back up what we say. Here are Cano’s stats at Safeco over the last 4 years: 17 games, 3 homeruns, 14 RBI, 9 runs, .318 avg. While it’s a small sample size, that translates to over 28 homeruns and 100+ RBI over a full season. Taking a look at his home-road splits over the last 3 years, he has averaged 3 more homeruns and 8 more RBI per game at home. But, on the road his OBP has stayed the same, his avg. is slightly higher and he has averaged 6 more runs and doubles per game. Translation: Cano is an elite hitter wherever he plays. Sure the short porch in New York helped him hit a few more long bombs, but he is a line drive, hit to all parts of the field type hitter, he will continue to hit for a high average and a drive in runs since he’ll be in the middle of the order. The typical Yankees lineup offered him alot of protection, but he proved with this year’s Yankee team, filled with castoffs and has-beens, that he can put up big time numbers regardless.

    I understand as a Rangers fan you put forth an article that sets your team as the better organization, but atleast try to make it a little more factual, and far
    less biased.