Predicting the Over/Under on Rangers outfield projections

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Feb 25, 2017; Surprise, AZ, USA; Texas Ranger outfielder Carlos Gomez (1) reacts during an at bat during a spring training baseball game against the Kansas City Royals at Surprise Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Allan Henry-USA TODAY Sports
Feb 25, 2017; Surprise, AZ, USA; Texas Ranger outfielder Carlos Gomez (1) reacts during an at bat during a spring training baseball game against the Kansas City Royals at Surprise Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Allan Henry-USA TODAY Sports /
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Feb 25, 2017; Surprise, AZ, USA; Texas Ranger outfielder Carlos Gomez (1) reacts during an at bat during a spring training baseball game against the Kansas City Royals at Surprise Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Allan Henry-USA TODAY Sports
Feb 25, 2017; Surprise, AZ, USA; Texas Ranger outfielder Carlos Gomez (1) reacts during an at bat during a spring training baseball game against the Kansas City Royals at Surprise Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Allan Henry-USA TODAY Sports /

Carlos Gomez

  • ZiPS projection – 2.1 WAR
  • Over/Under – Push

Carlos Gomez is an interesting player to watch heading into 2017. His 126 games with the Astros split during the 2015 and 2016 seasons were disastrous. Yet, he was phenomenal in his 33 games as a Ranger a season ago and is only three years removed from being an All-Star.

If Gomez can match his performance from late last season, he will shatter his projection. However, it’s hard to imagine the numbers he put up with Texas will be matched in 2017. In his 33 games he had  a .905 OPS, his career high is .843.

Defensively Gomez has digressed in every season since winning a Gold Glove in 2013. After a 26.5 defensive rating in 2013, one of the best of this decade, his defensive ratings have been 7.8, 6.5 and 1.5.

Gomez has mentioned how much more comfortable he is in Arlington as opposed to Houston.

Perhaps a full season with Texas can help Go-Go return to his All-Star form. His speed and power make him an interesting batter and if he can utilize both of them he will be on of the Rangers more valuable players.

Prediction – 2.1 WAR

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