It’s a marathon, not a sprint for the 2022 Texas Rangers.
After an abysmal 2021 season, the Rangers seek improvement in 2022 and they’ve gone a long way towards doing so in signing free agents Corey Seager, Marcus Semien, Jon Gray and Kole Calhoun.
And the oddsmakers over at WynnBet seem to agree that better on-field results are ahead for Texas.
WynnBet’s latest odds have the Texas Rangers improving in 2022
The Rangers’ 2022 wins total over/under figure has been set at 71.5, which would represent somewhere between an 11 to 12 win improvement over 2021. That seems in line with expectations, given that there are still plenty of holes to fill, yet the team is headed in the right direction as well.
Seager and Semien alone will likely account for the majority of the increase in wins this coming season. Looking at their 2021 bWARs, the middle infielders combined for exactly 11 WAR (Semien- 7.3, Seager- 3.7). That takes you to 71 wins from the 60 wins in 2021, assuming they match last year’s production to a tee, which seems unlikely.
The bettors had to factor in some regression, so let’s say the two combine for 9 WAR in 2022, which would leave about 2 WAR for Jon Gray (he was at 1.3 in 2021) and 0.5 WAR for Kole Calhoun since he’s more of a replacement level player at this point in his career. There’s your 71.5 wins.
Overall, WynnBet seems to be accurate in their assessment of the 2022 Texas Rangers as they are currently constructed. Things change, though, and the Rangers are expected to continue adding to their roster once the lockout ceases. That could easily raise the over/under from 71.5, which we wouldn’t complain about at all!
Things can change in season, as well. Betting odds don’t take into account things like Josh Jung making his debut, for example!
As is though, expecting an 11-12 win improvement is very reasonable for the Texas Rangers this coming season. We can’t wait for baseball to start!