The Texas Rangers are seven games into their longest losing streak of the season and it couldn't be coming at a worse time. There is never a great time to drop seven straight games in a nine-day period, but with only five weeks remaining in the regular season, there is little room for error at this point.
Remarkably the Rangers do find themselves still clinging to the AL West lead by one game over the Houston Astros and the Seattle Mariners. Texas is only 2.5 games in front of the Toronto Blue Jays and 4.5 games ahead of the Boston Red Sox as well. The AL playoff race has turned into a five-team battle for three spots. Texas, Seattle, or Houston will win the AL West, and then out of the remaining four teams will more than likely come the last two wild card spots. There is always a chance that Tampa Bay or Baltimore could falter down the stretch, but with the lead that they are putting together, that is becoming less likely.
So, let's get to the odds that the Rangers make the playoffs. Fangraphs has their current odds of making the playoffs at 70.7%. The current odds of Texas winning the AL West is at 28.4% and the chance that they win the World Series is set at 4.3%. These odds are extremely fluid, and change based on daily outcomes. They also adjust according to the projected win totals based on each team's strength of schedule over the remaining part of the season.
After the Rangers won their game against the Los Angeles Angels on Tuesday, August 15, the odds of them making the playoffs was at a season-high, 95.1%. The odds of Texas winning the AL West sat at 56.8% and their World Series victory odds were at 7.0%. What a difference a losing streak over a seven-game, nine-day stretch can have on a team's chances to make the playoffs. The good news is the flip side of that is also true. A winning streak can cure many things, one of which is playoff odds.
And despite their recent struggles, the Rangers are still right in the middle of the playoff race for either the AL West title or a potential wild card berth. There is a bit of panic going on within the fan base at the moment, and rightly so, but the Rangers are a good team and have shown that they will not give up on each other. With just 35 games remaining in the regular season, this is going to be an exciting finish to see who gets in and who is left out. As of now, the odds are still in the Rangers' favor to be on the right side of things when the music stops on October 1st marking the end of the 2023 regular season. Pull your hat down tight Rangers fans, it's about to get western.